More about Maths in Predictions

soccer maths

Football predictions require some basic mathematics, and if you are after the re-entry, bunking in the mathematics education is the most important thing you have missed that the probability of a team scoring any number of targets during a game can be calculated, if you know what the mean (average) number of goals is.

The easiest way, is to calculate the average order has scored the number of goals a team has the number of games played them to share. This approach is better than just guessing that their match will end 2-1, it is suggested you take a closer approach, taking into account the relative strengths of the two sides. The best thing is that you do not have to find any of these yourself, as all spread betting companies will have done the hard work for you. Publish spreads on domination and overall targets for the most top football matches and they (usually) what they are talking about. So if overall targets are given at 2 and supremacy is 0.4, the average value of the targets are 1.2 and 0.8.

What are the chances of the match ending 0-0, say? You know the probabilities on each side failing to score are 20 percent and 30 percent, so you simply multiply these numbers together to tell you that the result has a six-percent chance of happening (0.2 x 0, 3 = 0.06). Similarly, a 1-1 draw an 11.5 percent chance of the action (0.32 x 0.36 = 0.115), while there was a 7.8 percent chance of a 2-0 home win (0.26 x 0.3 = 0.078). The most striking thing about these calculations will show how unlikely you are to actually select the correct score. A 2-0 home victory hardly class as a shock result, but you’ll only that one right 7.8 percent of the time. That’s why bookies earn money. You think there’s going a greater chance of something than it actually is and you bet on it. Now you will not. These are some things to watch out for in football predictions.

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